The issue of when or whether to celebrate Australia Day seems to have become stuck in a loop of fierce debate without resolution.
There are those who want to mark January 26 as the start of modern Australia, while others view it as the start of systematic dispossession of Indigenous Australians.
What does the broader public think?
A new national survey shows at the moment, the majority of Australians want the day left as it is. But it also suggests a groundswell for change is in the works.
During November 2021, we polled a representative, random sample of more than 5000 Australians as part of the Deakin Contemporary History Survey.
In contrast to previous surveys, which have focused on what to call Australia Day, we asked a more general question – is January 26 the right date for something called Australia Day?
We also asked other questions about respondents’ knowledge of and interest in Australian history.
Our collective understanding of history can explain why some stories seem more important than others. For example, consider how frequently, and in how many different forms, we learn of Australian military history due to Anzac Day.
Overall, 60 per cent of our respondents want to continue celebrating ‘Australia Day’ on January 26.
But the generational differences are significant.
More than half (53 per cent) of millennials (those born between 1986 and 2002) think we should not celebrate Australia Day on January 26.
By contrast, 74 per cent of those over 75 said “disagree” or “strongly disagree” to any change, with 70 per cent of baby boomers (born 1946 to 1965) also against change.
The generation X cohort (born 1966–1985) was also decisively against change (64 per cent), revealing a gulf between millennials and the rest of those surveyed.
For many Australians, January 26 means little beyond a day off. Photo: Getty
One possible explanation for this is older people being more resistant to change.
Their familiarity with Australia Day as an established end-of-summer day for social gathering is possibly stronger than their interpretation of the day’s historical significance or a political stance on the debate.
What does this mean?
These results also mirror other polls (with smaller sample sizes of about 1200), including one by Roy Morgan in January 2021 and another by CoreData released over the weekend.
Younger Australians are more readily accepting of marriage equality, gender diversity and other kinds of progressive social change.
Recognising and responding to past injustices or complicated histories is familiar terrain for them.
Rap group A.B. Original’s call-out of Australia Day, January 26th, came 16th in Triple J’s Hottest 100 songs of 2016.
In 2018, the Hottest 100 was moved from the traditional January 26, after listeners expressed discomfort with holding the celebration on this date.
Beyond generational differences, we also found gender and geography matter when it comes to attitudes about Australia Day.
Women were significantly more likely than men to want to change the date of Australia Day (43 per cent compared to 33 per cent men).
This is in keeping with studies showing women are more progressive than men.
Meanwhile, about 66 per cent of those living outside capitals cities were opposed to changing Australia Day.
This reduces to 60 per cent opposed to change in capitals. This is driven by boomers in regional areas, who are significantly more opposed than boomers in cities.
More history, please
Some people feel there is still too little justice for Indigenous peoples for there to be any day to celebrate. Photo: YouTube
Importantly for the Australia Day question, we also asked about Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander history.
More than 80 per cent of those polled agreed more of this history should be taught in schools.
Here there is less of a generation gap: Almost 90 per cent of millennials want more of this education, for boomers, it is nearly 80 per cent.
Women and non-binary interviewees were still more likely to agree than men, by eight percentage points, and those in cities were six points ahead of those in regions.
But Australians are relatively united in their enthusiasm for greater teaching of Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander history.
Change is coming
We suggest our findings indicate a slow burn to change the date, based on strong foundations.
While there remain differences among Australians, the combination of younger generational desire for change to Australia Day and strong enthusiasm among the broader population for more Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander history may suggest that change is not so far off.
This slow pace for change probably suits the major political parties (but not so much the Greens).
A growing appetite for change may also indicate a discomfort with celebrating ‘Australia Day’ at all.
Luke Pearson, Gamilaroi man and founder of media organisation IndigenousX opposes simply changing the date.
As he explained in 2019, there is still too little recognition of the harmful impact of colonisation and too little justice for Indigenous peoples for there to be any day to celebrate.
So, change the country first and then we can talk about a date.
David Lowe l Chair in Contemporary History, Deakin University
Andrew Singleton l Associate Professor of Sociology and Social Research, Deakin University
Joanna Cruickshank l Senior Lecturer in History, Deakin University
This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons licence.